How does climate change affect Georgia's Coast?

Key messages

  • Coastal Georgia has experienced over 10 inches of sea level rise since 1935 [1].
  • The Georgia Department of Natural Resources recommends that coastal communities plan for 4 to 6.3 feet of sea level rise by 2100.
  • Up to 178,787 people in Georgia could be at risk of sea level rise impacts by 2100, many of whom are from socially vulnerable populations [2].
  • If sea levels rise 3 feet by 2100 (on the low end of projections), Georgia will lose 36 square miles of salt marsh—more than the area of Brunswick, GA [3].

Published

September 19, 2020

Overview

Coastal Georgia is home to constant change. While the Georgia coastline is just 100 miles long, the entire tidal range of rivers, creeks, barrier islands and estuaries stretches over 2,344 miles. Up to ten vertical feet of tide water feeds in and out of the system twice daily. Georgia’s coastal economy pulses around these rhythms.

Climate change is causing critical shifts within coastal and marine processes, creating complex challenges for coastal communities. Sea level rise combined with heavier downpours is generating more frequent and expansive flooding, overwhelming coastal roadways, stormwater, septic and wastewater systems and other important infrastructure. Larger, more powerful hurricanes are creating coastal erosion issues, as well as inland flooding. With rising water levels, saltwater is encroaching upon sources of drinking water and natural habitats.

Coastal Georgia has natural characteristics that can aid the state in combating these threats. Georgia’s wetlands absorb carbon from the atmosphere, helping to mitigate climate change. Georgia’s saltmarshes can sequester 88-340 billion grams of carbon per year, equivalent to 10-37 million gallons of gasoline [4]. The majority of Georgia’s 12 barrier islands are protected from development, with intact ecosystems that help insulate the mainland from intensifying hurricanes and tropical storms [5]. While the population of coastal Georgia is expected to grow significantly in the coming decades, Georgia currently has fewer people and lower cumulative property values at risk of chronic flooding due to sea level rise than other states in the Southeast [6]. However, parts of the Georgia coast face projections of sea level rise that are 30 percent higher than the global average [7].

Policymakers in coastal Georgia face difficult decisions, as they strive to protect natural resources, public safety and the economic stability of their communities. However, with smart land use planning, communities can guide development away from vulnerable areas, implement sustainable practices and conserve the dynamic natural protections of coastal Georgia.

Downloadable Copy of Coast Portal Page

Take a Deeper Dive!

Georgia Climate Stories: Sea Level Sensors Promote Costal Resilience Chatham County – Savannah, GA (Georgia Tech)

Georgia Climate Research Roadmap: Through a collaborative process, the Georgia Climate Project identified 40 important research questions that, if answered, could lay the groundwork for effective, science-based climate action in Georgia. The following questions relate to Georgia’s coast.

  • 11. How will changes in abiotic conditions in the ocean influence Georgia’s climate and coastal ecosystems?
  • 12. How will climate change affect coastal biodiversity, ecosystems, economy, and ecosystem services?
  • 13. What are the most ecologically sound, cost-effective, and just adaptation options to address coastal hazards due to climate change?
  • 14. How will sea level rise and flooding affect the economy of coastal Georgia?
  • 15. How will climate-related changes in upstream water systems influence coastal ecosystems?

Resources

Rising Oceans, Flooded Towns: How Georgia Coastline Communities are Readying to Recover Despite a Changing Climate
Climate change is posing a significant threat to the coastal counties of Georgia. The Georgia Department of Natural Resources and Hagerty Consulting have recognised this threat and are facilitating a nine-year project aimed at developing a disaster recovery and redevelopment plan for the state’s coastal communities.

Camden County “Rise Ready” Community Planning Tool
The Coastal Resilience decision-support tool provides communities access to the best available science and local data on coastal hazards to visualize their risks and examine where nature can increase resilience and reduce risk through conservation and restoration activities.

Smart Sea Level Sensor Project
Chatham Emergency Management Agency officials, City of Savannah officials and Georgia Tech scientists and engineers are working together to install a network of internet-enabled sea level sensors across Chatham County. The real-time data on coastal flooding will be used for emergency planning and response.

Roads to Nowhere in Four States: State and Local Governments in the Atlantic Southeast Facing Sea-Level Rise
Coastal communities are becoming increasingly aware of the risks to local infrastructure from more frequent and severe flooding, more extreme storm surges, and sea-level rise. As local governments are responsible for the lion’s share of land use decision-making and infrastructure development in coastal communities in the United States, local governments in the coastal zone will play a key role in adapting to the changing climate.

Tybee Island Sea Level Rise Adaptation Plan
The first municipal sea level rise adaptation plan adopted in Georgia, this nationally award-winning plan outlines risks to infrastructure and opportunities to decrease impacts from sea level rise.

Georgia Coastal Hazards Portal
Created by the Skidaway Institute of Oceanography and the Savannah Area Geographic Information System (SAGIS), the portal provides information on historic hurricane tracks, storm surge, erosion and sea level rise in coastal Georgia.

Authors

Jill Gambill (University of Georgia Marine Extension and Georgia Sea Grant)

Elizabeth Hunt (Georgia Southern University)

Ashby Worley (The Nature Conservancy)

Acknowledgments

Special thanks to coastal experts Jennifer Kline (Coastal Hazards Specialist, Georgia Department of Natural Resources Coastal Resources Division), Joel Kostka (Professor and Associate Chair of Research, Georgia Institute of Technology), Scott Pippin (Public Service Associate, Carl Vinson Institute of Government, University of Georgia) and Dawud Shabaka (Associate Director, The Harambee House/Citizens for Environmental Justice) for their thoughtful review and edits.

References

  1. Relative Sea Level Trend: 8670870 Fort Pulaski, Georgia. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Tides and Currents.
  2. Hauer, M. E., Evans, J. M., & Mishra, D. R. (2016). Millions projected to be at risk from sea-level rise in the continental United States. Nature Climate Change6(7), 691-695.
  3. Hunter, E. A., Nibbelink, N. P., Alexander, C. R., Barrett, K., Mengak, L. F., Guy, R. K., … & Cooper, R. J. (2015). Coastal vertebrate exposure to predicted habitat changes due to sea level riseEnvironmental management56(6), 1528-1537.
  4. Hopkinson, C. S., Cai, W. J., & Hu, X. (2012). Carbon sequestration in wetland dominated coastal systems—a global sink of rapidly diminishing magnitude. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 4(2), 186-194.
  5. Global Warming and Hurricanes: An Overview of Current Research Results. NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory. Last Revised:  Sept. 23, 2020.
  6. Rao, K. (2017). Climate change and housing: Will a rising tide sink all homes? Zillow Research.
  7. Sweet, W.V., R.E. Kopp, C. P. Weaver, J. Obeysekera, R. M. Horton, E.R. Thieler and C. Zervas (2017), Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States. NOAA Tech. Rep. NOS CO-OPS 83.